Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.104368 0.115480 0.126845 0.139309 0.152569 0.166227 0.181332
2025-02-02 0.085853 0.102457 0.120261 0.140652 0.163239 0.187377 0.215008
2025-02-09 0.073482 0.093792 0.116488 0.143435 0.174269 0.208177 0.248008
2025-02-16 0.062216 0.084663 0.110728 0.142695 0.180323 0.222715 0.273590
2025-02-23 0.057348 0.082249 0.112071 0.149585 0.194699 0.246448 0.309529
2025-03-02 0.052822 0.079598 0.112594 0.155059 0.207106 0.267743 0.342650
2025-03-09 0.045322 0.072316 0.106681 0.152039 0.208786 0.276006 0.360211
2025-03-16 0.038489 0.065182 0.100313 0.147858 0.208539 0.281566 0.374255
2025-03-23 0.036010 0.063739 0.101127 0.152639 0.219308 0.300419 0.404291
2025-03-30 0.033174 0.061487 0.100624 0.155526 0.227569 0.316158 0.430595
2025-04-06 0.031266 0.060393 0.101551 0.160193 0.238057 0.334672 0.460382
2025-04-13 0.028053 0.057012 0.099041 0.160042 0.242167 0.345138 0.480240
2025-04-20 0.027921 0.058611 0.103903 0.170396 0.260672 0.374576 0.524773
2025-04-27 0.025385 0.056158 0.102804 0.172527 0.268431 0.390616 0.552964
2025-05-04 0.023421 0.054450 0.102673 0.175941 0.277914 0.408954 0.584243
2025-05-11 0.020639 0.051035 0.099730 0.175177 0.281641 0.419829 0.606121
2025-05-18 0.020114 0.051557 0.102813 0.183105 0.297278 0.446293 0.648033
2025-05-25 0.019273 0.051400 0.104775 0.189381 0.310675 0.469911 0.686455
2025-06-01 0.016553 0.047375 0.100309 0.185931 0.310391 0.475387 0.701438
2025-06-08 0.013907 0.043111 0.095138 0.181145 0.308002 0.477903 0.712474
2025-06-15 0.013290 0.042932 0.096727 0.186620 0.320159 0.499896 0.748971
2025-06-22 0.012364 0.041981 0.096931 0.189922 0.329214 0.517770 0.780182
2025-06-29 0.011820 0.041807 0.098442 0.195254 0.341223 0.539704 0.816849